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Eurodollar futures are the most widely traded
futures in
the world. They were launched in 1982 by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange
(CME). Today, contracts trade there as well on the Singapore Futures
Exchange (SGX) and Euronext. Most of the volume is in Chicago, followed
by Singapore and then Europe. The Chicago and Singapore contracts are
identical, and there is a mutual offset program between the two
exchanges that makes their contracts fungible. The Chicago and Singapore
contracts are cash settled. So is the European contract, but for
historical regulatory reasons, it also offers a
physical settlement
option, which the others do not. This is rarely used. Despite its minor
differences, and the fact that it cannot be offset against the Chicago
or Singapore contracts, prices of the European contracts closely track
those of the other two.
A Eurodollar future is a future on a three-month
Eurodollar deposit of one million US dollars.
Final settlement at expiration
is based on the value of 3-month BBA
Libor.
Eurodollar futures are the
exchange-traded equivalent of over-the-counter
forward rate agreements (FRAs).
FRAs have the advantage of being customizable. Eurodollar futures offer
greater liquidity and lower
transaction costs. Also, like all futures,
Eurodollar futures eliminate credit risk through a
margining process. FRAs do not.
If Eurodollar futures were being introduced today, they
would probably be quoted with
forward interest rates on the
underlying
deposits. Back in 1982, though, cash settled financial futures were a
novelty. Trading was performed face-to-face in "trading pits" by traders
who were more familiar with trading cattle or pork bellies. They thought
in terms of prices instead of interest rates, so the exchange specified
a formula for the "price" of a Eurodollar future in terms of its
interest rate. This is the same formula the exchange had introduced for
its t-bill future. If a trader wants to quote a Eurodollar future for
some interest rate r, she converts r to a price for quoting
purposes with
For example, if a Eurodollar future is quoted at 94.25,
this corresponds to an interest rate of 5.75%.
Each .01 unit of price corresponds to a
basis point, but
it is called a tick. Prices are quoted to within a half tick (.005) for
all contracts except the one closest to expiration, which is quoted to
within a quarter tick. Daily margining is set equal to $25 per tick. For
example, if a contract's settlement price changes from 94.25 to 94.22
from one day to the next, traders who are
long must pay 3
x ($25) = $75 per contract in margin.
There are contracts that expire every March, June,
September and December out to ten years. Additionally, there are
contracts expiring in the upcoming four months not covered by the
quarterly expirations. In total, 44 contracts trade at any given time.
Exhibit 1 shows
available contracts and their settlement prices for June 25, 2007.
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Contract month |
Settlement price |
Contract month |
Settlement price |
|
JUL 2007 |
94.6500 |
MAR 2012 |
94.2700 |
|
AUG 2007 |
94.6650 |
JUN 2012 |
94.2400 |
|
SEP 2007 |
94.6800 |
SEP 2012 |
94.2100 |
|
OCT 2007 |
94.7050 |
DEC 2012 |
94.1700 |
|
NOV 2007 |
94.7400 |
MAR 2013 |
94.1500 |
|
DEC 2007 |
94.7400 |
JUN 2013 |
94.1200 |
|
MAR 2008 |
94.8000 |
SEP 2013 |
94.0850 |
|
JUN 2008 |
94.8300 |
DEC 2013 |
94.0450 |
|
SEP 2008 |
94.8150 |
MAR 2014 |
94.0250 |
|
DEC 2008 |
94.7750 |
JUN 2014 |
94.0000 |
|
MAR 2009 |
94.7350 |
SEP 2014 |
93.9800 |
|
JUN 2009 |
94.6850 |
DEC 2014 |
93.9450 |
|
SEP 2009 |
94.6350 |
MAR 2015 |
93.9300 |
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DEC 2009 |
94.5850 |
JUN 2015 |
93.9150 |
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MAR 2010 |
94.5500 |
SEP 2015 |
93.8950 |
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JUN 2010 |
94.5050 |
DEC 2015 |
93.8650 |
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SEP 2010 |
94.4700 |
MAR 2016 |
93.8450 |
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DEC 2010 |
94.4200 |
JUN 2016 |
93.8250 |
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MAR 2011 |
94.3950 |
SEP 2016 |
93.8050 |
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JUN 2011 |
94.3600 |
DEC 2016 |
93.7700 |
|
SEP 2011 |
94.3300 |
MAR 2017 |
93.7550 |
|
DEC 2011 |
94.2900 |
JUN 2017 |
93.7400 |
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Source: CME |
Although the contracts are cash settled, the underlying
deposits are thought of as spot deposits commencing on the third
Wednesday of a contract's expiration month. Since a spot deposit has two
days' settlement, trading ceases two London business days before that
date.
Eurodollar futures are widely used for
hedging fixed
income obligations and especially fixed income
derivatives. A simple
example can be informative. Suppose today is June 25, 2007, so the
contracts of Exhibit 1 are available. A trader is to make a cash payment
of $3 million on December 15, 2008, and she wants to hedge the
interest
rate risk. She goes long three each of the Sep 2007, Dec 2007, Mar 2008,
Jun 2008 and Sep 2008 contracts. If you think of each future as a
3-month forward loan, she has strung together a series of five 3-month
forward loans to make a 15-month forward loan, commencing in September
2007 and maturing in December 2008. That forward loan would, if futures
were physically settled, have her pay a sum equal to the present value
of $3 million in September 2007 and return $3 million to her in December
2008, offsetting her $3 million cash outflow scheduled for that month.
The hedge has the effect of replacing an eighteen-month
duration
portfolio with a three-month duration portfolio, substantially reducing
the interest rate risk. The Eurodollar futures hedge and its
interpretation as a forward loan are illustrated in Exhibit 2.
In the example, we see that it took fifteen futures
contracts, of five different expirations, to hedge a single cash flow.
Such laddered positions arise frequently in hedging with Eurodollar futures,
and they have a name. A
Eurodollar futures strip, or simply a
Eurodollar
strip, is a position consisting of an equal number of each of
several consecutive quarterly Eurodollar futures.
To facilitate hedging, the CME allows trading in entire
strips, which the exchange calls bundles. A
bundle is a strip of consecutive quarterly contracts—one future for each
expiration. Bundles generally start with the front quarterly contract,
so a one-year bundle consists of the first four quarterly contracts; a
two-year bundle consists of the first eight quarterly contracts, etc.
There is also a forward bundle,
which comprises 20 contracts, covering years five through ten. Another
form of strip that can be directly traded on the CME is
packs. These are strips of one each of four
consecutive quarterly contracts. There is a pack for the first four
quarterly contracts, the second four quarterly contracts, and so on.
There are several shortcomings of the hedge in our
example. One is that it hedges interest rate risk but leaves
liquidity
risk unaddressed. This is typical of any hedge using cash-settled
futures. More importantly, the hedge only partially addresses the
interest rate risk. Consider three issues:
The
hedge has the effect of replacing an eighteen-month duration portfolio
with a three-month duration portfolio, but a better hedge would replace
it with a cash (zero duration) portfolio. There simply isn't a
short-dated Eurodollar future that she can add to her hedge to
accomplish this.
There
is another timing issue at eighteen months. The cash flow to be hedged
occurs on December 15, but the hypothetical forward loan she has
constructed with the Eurodollar strip matures on December 19.
When
a forward loan is constructed from a series of shorter forward loans,
the maturity value of each loan in the series should equal the loan
amount of the subsequent loan. This doesn't happen in our example, where
the underlying deposits of the Eurodollar futures are all for $1
million.
As a practical matter, Eurodollar hedges are far from perfect.
If our trader wanted a more perfect hedge, she would go out and negotiate an
actual deposit commencing immediately and maturing on December 15.
Arranging such a customized deal would take time, and she would have to
pay a bid-ask spread.
As exchange-traded instruments, Eurodollar futures offer only standardized expirations
and a fixed $1 million notional amount. A trader has to construct the
best hedge she can with what is available. What she gains with
Eurodollar futures is savings in time and money. The Eurodollar futures
market is extremely liquid, so she can hedge even large exposures
quickly and for almost no cost.
If she wanted to, a trader could tweak the hedge in
our example to better address the interest rate risk. The example was
useful for illustrating how Eurodollar strips arise naturally when
hedging with Eurodollar futures. As a practical matter, traders don't
think of their Eurodollar futures hedges as forming hypothetical forward
loans. They construct hedges using sensitivity analysis as follows:
Represent
the portfolio to be hedged with a series of spot and forward 3-month
loans.
Calculate
the present value of a basis point (PV01) for each of the loans. That
is, determine by how much the present value of each loan would change if
the applicable interest rate for the loan were to rise by a basis point.
Divide
each PV01 by $25 to determine how many Eurodollar futures of the
corresponding expiration to hedge with.
During the early 1990s, awareness
spread that the margining process for Eurodollar futures introduced a
slight bias in how they are priced. Called
convexity bias, this should
cause Eurodollar futures rates to slightly exceed corresponding forward
rates, especially at longer maturities. Until the 1990s, traders would
construct a
forward curve directly from Eurodollar rates and use this for
pricing other instruments, such as swaps and FRAs. Recognizing that
there is a convexity bias in Eurodollar rates, traders no longer do
that. Instead, they construct a
spot curve
from Libor rates and swap
rates. Called the Libor-swap curve,
this has emerged as the benchmark for pricing many dollar-denominated
fixed income obligations.
Modeled after Eurodollar futures, there are other
cash-settled futures traded on exchanges around the world for 3-month
deposits in different currencies. These include
Eurosterling futures,
Euroyen futures,
Euroswiss futures and
Euroeuro futures. The term
Eurocurrency futures collectively
refers to all these contracts, including Eurodollar futures.
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asset-liability management Techniques for protecting a firm's solvency in the context of accrual accounting.
bankers acceptance
An acceptance that has a bank as its drawee.
cap
A type of derivative instrument that offers protection against
rising interest rates.
certificate of deposit A money market instrument issued by a depository institution as
evidence of a time deposit.
commercial paper
Short-term promissory notes issued primarily by corporations.
convexity bias
A bias in Eurodollar futures rates that makes them slightly higher than
corresponding forward rates.
credit risk Risk due to
uncertainty in a counterparty's ability to meet its obligations.
derivative
instrument An instrument
which derives value from the value of some commodity, energy, or other financial
instrument.
duration
and convexity Factor sensitivities often used in
asset-liability management.
Eurodollar
deposit
A deposit of US dollars held at a bank branch outside the United
States.
Fed funds Deposits
held by US banks in accounts at their regional Federal Reserve banks.
fixed income
term structure Refers collectively to a spot curve, forward curve,
discount curve, yield curve or any other curve that describes the time value of
money at a particulate point in time.
floater
A fixed income instrument whose coupon fluctuates with some designated reference
rate.
floor A type of
derivative instrument that offers protection against declining interest rates.
forward rate agreement
A cash-settled forward contract on a short-term loan.
future
An exchange-traded derivative that is similar to a forward.
gap analysis
A technique of asset-liability management used to assess interest rate risk or
liquidity risk.
interest rate risk
Risk due to uncertain future interest rates.
interest
rate swap A swap under which both cash flow streams are in the same currency and are defined as cash flow streams that might be associated with some fixed income obligations.
Libor
London Interbank Offered Rate.
swaption An option on a swap.
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