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Settlement risk is a form of
credit risk that arises at the
settlement of a transaction. Settlement often
entails two parties both performing on respective obligations—say one
party paying for a bond, and the other party delivering the bond. The risk
is that one party may perform on its obligation but the other might not.
Unlike pre-settlement risk, which
entails exposure to the net value of the two obligations, settlement risk
entails exposure to the entire value of a counterparty's obligation.
Settlement risk has historically been a particular problem in the foreign exchange markets
because each currency must be delivered in its home country. Due to time
zone differences, several hours can elapse between a payment being made in
one currency and the offsetting payment being made in another currency.
A famous example of foreign exchange
risk is the failure of Germany's
Herstatt bank. On June 26, 1974,
Herstatt had taken in all its
currency receipts in Europe but had not made any of its US dollar
payments when German banking regulators closed the bank down at the end of
the German business day. Counterparties were left holding unsecured claims
against the insolvent bank's assets. Consequently,
risk is sometimes called
Herstatt risk. Today, foreign exchange
transactions are routinely settled through
Continuous
Linked Settlement, which eliminates settlement risk.
Settlement risk in any market can introduce
liquidity risk.
Banks that do not receive payments may need those funds to make payments
to other parties. In the confusion that follows widespread
failures, there is also the possibility of
systemic risk.
The failure of Bank Herstatt caused three days of disruption in the
of foreign exchange transactions in New York.
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